enDaily Analysis 27/08/2025
Latest Economic Insights
The dollar stabilizes near 98.3 amid renewed concerns about the Federal Reserve’s independence and declining confidence in the dollar’s dominance.
Gold holds gains near two-week high of $3,380 an ounce.
Oil remains under pressure: Brent at $66 and WTI at $62-63.
Bitcoin continues its decline towards $110,000, with further declines possible.
The United States is proceeding to double tariffs on Indian goods to 50% over Russian oil trade.
Trump threatens new tariffs on China over rare earth exports.
Smart technical reports
How they work
A likely scenario for today is proposed, and the probability of this scenario occurring according to technical analysis may be between 60% and 75%.
If the first scenario fails, the probability of the second scenario occurring becomes between 60% and 75%.
The first scenario fails when the price reaches the level of the alternative scenario condition, and immediately the alternative scenario is activated and the prediction from the first scenario is cancelled.
These reports are not considered a substitute for a trader’s decision, but rather a tool to assist the follower in making their own decisions, as a reference based on the principles of classical technical analysis.
GOLD
General trend: Sideways bullish
Time interval: Half an hour (30 minutes)
Current price: 3,383.28
Scenario 1: Buy gold with a break and hold above 3,387.80, targeting 3,396.83 and then 3,404.99
Alternative scenario: Sell gold with a break and hold below 3,372.47, targeting 3,363.03 and then 3,353.93
Comment: Gold is moving within a minor ascending price channel, and breaking the resistance may push it towards new higher levels.
CRUDE OIL
General trend: Down
Time interval: Half an hour (30 minutes)
Current price: 63.012
Scenario 1: Buy oil with a break and hold above 63.511, targeting 63.871 and then 64.219
Alternative scenario: Sell oil with a break and hold below 62.609, targeting 62.249 and then 61.819
Comment: Oil is trading at an important support area, and a rebound is likely if the current area holds.
EURUSD
General trend: Bearish
Time interval: Half an hour (30 minutes)
Current price: 1.15940
Scenario 1: Buy the euro on a break and hold above 1.16289, targeting 1.16550 and then 1.16757
Alternative scenario: Sell the euro on a break and hold below 1.15866, targeting 1.15692 and then 1.15490
Comment: The euro is under strong selling pressure near pivotal support areas, and a break downward reinforces the continuation of the decline.
GBPUSD
General trend: Bearish
Time interval: Half an hour (30 minutes)
Current price: 1.34407
Scenario 1: Buy the pound with a break and hold above 1.34622, targeting 1.34757 and then 1.34956
Alternative scenario: Sell the pound with a break and hold below 1.34289, targeting 1.34090 and then 1.33900
Comment: The pound is testing critical support areas, and the current price action may determine the trend for the next period.
NAS100
General trend: Sideways
Time interval: Half an hour (30 minutes)
Current price: 23,596.75
Scenario 1: Buy Nasdaq with a break and hold above 23,643.75, targeting 23,763.25 and then 23,870.75
Alternative scenario: Sell Nasdaq with a break and hold below 23,486.75, targeting 23,382.00 and then 23,274.00
Comment: Nasdaq is moving near an important resistance, and breaking it may reinforce a new upward wave.
Economic Calendar
(Times are in GMT+3)
From the USA: Crude Oil Inventories – 17:30.
Fundamental Analysis
The dollar index held near 98.3 on Wednesday, following losses in the previous session, as concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve resurfaced following Trump’s move to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook on allegations of misconduct. Her lawyer confirmed that she will pursue legal action to prevent the dismissal, further complicating the situation and raising investor concerns about direct political interference in the central bank’s policies.
Analysts have warned that Cook’s potential ouster could accelerate interest rate cuts, in line with Trump’s push for more accommodative monetary policy. Markets are currently pricing in a 25 basis point rate cut in September at approximately 87%. Focus will then turn to the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index data on Friday, as it is the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation.
Gold retreated slightly to $3,380 an ounce but remained supported as a safe haven amid political and monetary uncertainty.
In energy markets, West Texas Intermediate crude futures settled around $63 a barrel, following losses of more than 2% in the previous session. Data from the American Petroleum Institute showed a decline in US crude inventories of 1 million barrels, less than the 1.7 million expected, reflecting continued weak demand.
On the international trade front, the United States decided to proceed with doubling tariffs on Indian goods to 50% effective today, as New Delhi continues to import Russian oil. Meanwhile, Trump threatened to impose high tariffs on China over exports of rare earth minerals, heightening tensions between the two superpowers.
In cryptocurrency markets, Bitcoin fell to around $110,000, with expectations of further declines amid economic uncertainty and rising global risks.
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