enDaily Analysis 27/10/2025
Latest Economic Insights
Top headlines
The dollar fell to 98.8 points amid anticipation of the US Federal Reserve meeting and trade talks between Trump and Xi.
Gold continues its losses for the third day as trade optimism dampens demand for safe-haven assets.
Oil rises to a two-week high, supported by progress in US-China negotiations and continued sanctions on Russia.
Bitcoin is attempting to stabilize above $113,500, with the potential for further gains if it breaks the $115,500 resistance.
Smart technical reports
How they work
A likely scenario for today is proposed, and the probability of this scenario occurring according to technical analysis may be between 60% and 75%.
If the first scenario fails, the probability of the second scenario occurring becomes between 60% and 75%.
The first scenario fails when the price reaches the level of the alternative scenario condition, and immediately the alternative scenario is activated and the prediction from the first scenario is cancelled.
These reports are not considered a substitute for a trader’s decision, but rather a tool to assist the follower in making their own decisions, as a reference based on the principles of classical technical analysis.
GOLD
General trend: bearish.
Time interval: 30 minutes.
Current price: 4,079.
First scenario: Sell on a break of 4,067 with targets of 4,053 and then 4,036.
Alternative scenario: Buy on a break of 4,094 with targets of 4,105 and then 4,121.
Comment: Gold is trading within a narrow range below the three moving averages. Consistency below 4,094 maintains selling pressure, while a break of 4,067 will confirm the continuation of the downtrend.
CRUDE OIL
General trend: Upward sloping
Time interval: 30 minutes
Current price: 61.57
First scenario: Buy on a break of 62.09 with targets of 62.45 and then 62.80.
Alternative scenario: Sell on a break of 61.19 with targets of 60.83 and then 60.40.
Comment: Oil is moving near the 62.00 resistance level. A break below it will open the way for a new upward wave, while remaining below it could lead to a limited correction towards 60.80.
EURUSD
General trend: Bullish Corrective
Time interval: 30 minutes
Current price: 1.1629
First scenario: Buy above 1.1635 with targets of 1.1674 then 1.1695.
Alternative scenario: Sell on a break of 1.1606 with targets of 1.1589 then 1.1568.
Comment: The euro is moving above the 200-day moving average after breaking the previous resistance at 1.1610, which supports the possibility of continuing the upward momentum towards 1.1670 as long as the aforementioned support remains unbroken.
GBPUSD
General trend: bullish rebound after a strong decline.
Time interval: 30 minutes.
Current price: 1.3328.
Scenario 1: Buy on a break of 1.3342 with targets of 1.3361 then 1.3381.
Alternative scenario: Sell on a break of 1.3314 with targets of 1.3294 then 1.3275.
Comment: The pound is attempting to rebound from last week’s low, and stability above the short-term moving averages could reinforce the upside trend towards 1.3360.
NAS100
General trend: Strong bullish
Time interval: 30 minutes
Current price: 25,791
First scenario: Buy on a break of 25,837 with targets of 25,956 and then 26,064.
Alternative scenario: Sell on a break of 25,680 with targets of 25,575 and then 25,467.
Comment: The Nasdaq continues its strong upward momentum, breaking through successive resistance levels. Holding above 25,750 enhances the likelihood of a continued climb toward 26,000.
Economic Calendar
(Times are in GMT+3)
New Home Sales (September) – 17:00.
Fundamental Analysis
The US dollar index fell slightly to 98.8 on Monday, paring last week’s gains, as markets anticipate a pivotal week with attention turning to the Federal Reserve meeting and the much-anticipated meeting between Presidents Trump and Xi Jinping in South Korea, which could lay the groundwork for a comprehensive trade agreement between the world’s two largest economies.
Preparatory talks in Malaysia over the weekend were positive, with top negotiators from both sides reaching preliminary understandings on export controls, fentanyl, agricultural products, and shipping tariffs, boosting risk appetite and dampening demand for the safe-haven dollar.
Meanwhile, markets are awaiting decisions from three major central banks this week:
The US Federal Reserve (expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points after weaker-than-expected inflation data).
European Central Bank (likely to keep interest rates unchanged).
The Bank of Japan (which is expected to continue accommodative policy).
On the international relations front, President Trump is expected to meet with Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi on Tuesday to discuss bilateral trade relations and coordinate economic positions.
The dollar recorded its largest decline against the Australian and New Zealand dollars as investors’ appetite for riskier assets increased.
Gold prices fell to $4,070 an ounce on Monday, extending last week’s losses amid improved market sentiment due to progress in trade talks between Washington and Beijing.
The decline followed losses of more than 5% the previous week, as investors preferred to shift to riskier assets such as stocks and oil at the expense of safe havens.
However, gold remains supported in the medium term by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut and continued geopolitical uncertainty, especially following US sanctions on major Russian oil companies.
Crude oil prices rose to $61 for West Texas Intermediate and $66 for Brent on Monday, supported by optimism about trade progress between the United States and China that could lift global energy demand forecasts.
US sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil also contributed to the price boost, as the two companies account for nearly half of Russia’s oil exports.
US Treasury Secretary Scott Besant indicated that a substantive framework had been agreed upon with China and would be discussed during the two leaders’ meeting this week, which contributed to the continued upward momentum in the energy market.
Bitcoin is attempting to stabilize above $113,500, with a potential target of $115,500 as a key resistance level.
Price action has remained confined to a sideways range since the beginning of the week, awaiting clarity on the US dollar’s direction after the Federal Reserve meeting, which could determine the cryptocurrency’s future direction in the coming days.
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